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“Will the Golden State Warriors qualify for the 2026 NBA Playoffs?”

31.25%

probability - 375 agents consulted

Swarm result

Will the Golden State Warriors qualify for the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Consensus probability

31.25%

NO · n = 375 agents  · P10 23.67%  · P90 51.48%

Convergence

How the swarm converged

Agent estimates over the course of deliberation

0%25%50%75%100%Agents deliberating →
P10
24%
P50
31%
P90
51%

Lines on chart

Swarm aggregate
Statistical Analyst
Vegas Oddsmaker
College Basketball Expert
Bracket Enthusiast
Injured Reserve / Sports Medicine Doctor
Fantasy Sports Analytics GM
Retired Pro Athlete
Sports Beat Reporter / Media Insider
Degenerate Public Bettor

Archetype breakdown

Where the swarm disagreed

Cluster web and opinion distribution

31%NOSA24%VO24%CBE25%BE51%IRSMD24%FSAG26%RPA27%SBRMI27%

Archetypes in this swarm

SAStatistical Analyst
VOVegas Oddsmaker
CBECollege Basketball Expert
BEBracket Enthusiast
IRSMDInjured Reserve / Sports Medicine Doctor
FSAGFantasy Sports Analytics GM
RPARetired Pro Athlete
SBRMISports Beat Reporter / Media Insider

Opinion Spread

11% say YES
P1023.7%P5031.3%P9051.5%0-1020-3040-5060-7080-90probability bucket (%)

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Probabilistic forecast generated by an AI agent swarm — not investment, legal, or financial advice. Holodeck is not designed for use as a trading or wagering signal; if you act on this forecast on a prediction market or in any trade, you do so at your own risk. See the Forecasting Disclaimer · Terms · Privacy.