HOLODECKby DarkGray
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14 featured outcomes

SWARM CINEMA

The best calls our swarm has made — resolved against reality.

Lowest Brier scores. Highest conviction calls. Verified outcomes.

GEOPOLITICS🎯 Accurate

Did the Abraham Accords gain a new Arab signatory in Q1 2026?

Swarm called5%
✗ NOBrier 0.003
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CRYPTO🎯 Accurate

Did Ethereum outperform Bitcoin in Q1 2026?

Swarm called5%
✗ NOBrier 0.003
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Was the March 2026 CPI above 0.3% month-over-month?

Swarm called95%
✓ YESBrier 0.003
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Was US retail sales growth positive in February 2026?

Swarm called95%
✓ YESBrier 0.003
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Was the March 2026 PPI above 0.2% month-over-month?

Swarm called95%
✓ YESBrier 0.003
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Was the April 2026 Empire State Manufacturing Index below 0?

Swarm called95%
✓ YESBrier 0.003
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SPORTS🎯 Accurate

Will the Golden State Warriors qualify for the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Swarm called7%
✗ NOBrier 0.005
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GEOPOLITICS🎯 Accurate

Will the new Pope be elected within 2 weeks of the 2026 conclave opening?

Swarm called92%
✓ YESBrier 0.006
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GEOPOLITICS🎯 Accurate

Did the UK experience a general election in Q1 2026?

Swarm called8%
✗ NOBrier 0.006
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Will US GDP growth for Q4 2025 be reported as positive?

Swarm called85%
✓ YESBrier 0.022
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SPORTS🎯 Accurate

Did the Los Angeles Angels beat the Toronto Blue Jays on April 22, 2026?

Swarm called85%
✓ YESBrier 0.023
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MACRO🎯 Accurate

Did the Fed hold rates at its March 2026 FOMC meeting?

Swarm called85%
✓ YESBrier 0.023
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SPORTS⚡ High conviction

Will the New York Mets beat the Minnesota Twins on April 23, 2026?

Swarm called95%
✗ NOBrier 0.902
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SPORTS⚡ High conviction

Did the Tampa Bay Rays beat the Cincinnati Reds on April 21, 2026?

Swarm called95%
✗ NOBrier 0.902
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Run your own simulation and see what the swarm thinks.

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